“Olu jikelezo lokunyuka kwexabiso lekopolo lukhuthazwe licala elikhulu, kodwa lukwaxhaswa kakhulu ziziseko, kodwa ngokwembono yobugcisa lunyuka ngokukhawuleza kakhulu, oko kukuthi, uhlengahlengiso lufanelekile.” Eli shishini lingentla lixelele iintatheli ukuba kwixesha elide, nokuba ziibhanki zotyalo-mali zaphesheya okanye amaziko ophando kulindeleke ukuba ukunqongophala kwemarike yekopolo kuhlale ixesha elide, oko kukuthi,emva kohlengahlengiso oluqhelekileyo, iziko lobunzima bamaxabiso ethusi lisenokunyuka ngokuqhubekayo, ngaphandle kokuba iziseko okanye umgaqo-nkqubo weFederal Reserve utshintsha ngaphaya kolindelo.
UZhang Jianhui uthe amaxabiso ekopolo adibene nokuthengiswa okuncinci ngexabiso langoku, kwaye kukho uxinzelelo ekuthunyelweni kweemveliso ngesaphulelo. Kwixesha elizayo, ukuba ii-inventri zekopolo ziyehla, umjikelo omtsha wokunciphisa inzala weFederal Reserve uyaqala, kunye namandla aqhubekayo oqoqosho lwasekhaya, amaxabiso ekopolo anokwenza umjikelo omtsha wokukhula, oko kukuthi, kusekho ithuba lokunyuka liye kwinqanaba eliphezulu elitsha. Kakade ke, kwelinye icala, ukuba i-inventri iyaqhubeka nokuqokelelana kwinqanaba elilandelayo, imakethi yobhedu iya kwenza umkhwa wokuhla kolu luhlu lwamaxabiso.
UJi Xianfei ukwakholelwa ukuba amaxabiso obhedu exesha elifutshane aza kulungiswa, kodwa kwixesha eliphakathi nelide, lisalawulwa ziipateni ezininzi. Uthe kwinqanaba le-macro, uqoqosho lwaseMelika kulindeleke ukuba luphucuke, kwaye ukuncitshiswa kwereyithi yeFederal Reserve kunyaka kusenokubonelela ngexabiso eliphantsi kwimarike. Kwinqanaba elisisiseko, ukunikezelwa okuncinci kwemigodi yobhedu kunokuqhubeka "nokubila", ngelixa kukho indawo yokuphucula kwicala lokusetyenziswa, okuya kuqhuba amashishini asezantsi ukuba athenge izinto eziluhlaza ngaphandle kwesivumelwano. Kwinqanaba lokugqibela, kufuneka sigxile kutshintsho lwesaphulelo sendawo kwinkqubo yokulungiswa kwamaxabiso, ukuba isaphulelo sendawo sincitshisiwe kakhulu okanye siguqulwe saba yiprimiyamu, ixabiso lobhedu nalo liya kuxhaswa.
Kodwa abanye abahlalutyi banembono engalunganga ngakumbi. UWang Yunfei ukholelwa ukuba ukunyuka kwamaxabiso ekopolo ngoku kusenokwenzeka ukuba kuphelile, kwaye akukho mandla aqhubayo kwixesha elifutshane. “Ukuqala kwingqiqo exhaswa ziinkunzi zemarike, ulindelo lwemfuno enamandla yekopolo phantsi koqoqosho olunekhabhoni ephantsi lusaza kuzalisekiswa, kwaye lukwajongene nokuncipha kwemfuno okubangelwa ngamaxabiso aphezulu ekopolo kwixesha elifutshane, kunye nezinto ezimbi ezifana nokuncipha kwemfuno yesitokhwe okubangelwa kukwehla koqoqosho kwixesha eliphakathi nelide kunye noxinzelelo kwimfuno olubangelwa lutshintsho kwimeko-bume yorhwebo lwehlabathi.”
UJiang Lu ulindele ukuba kwixesha elizayo, amaxabiso obhedu aza kulungiswa ngokutsha ngenxa yokuphazamiseka. Kwixesha elifutshane, kukho uxinzelelo kwi-COMEX copper kwinyanga ezayo, ukunikezelwa kwempahla yasekhaya kunye nemfuno kuyaqina ukuze kufezekiswe ukususwa kwesitokhwe, kwaye ithambeka lokulungiswa kwamaxabiso lisenokucotha. Ukongeza, ukuwa kwamaxabiso obhedu kuya kukhulula imfuno yexabiso elisezantsi, eliya kwenza inkxaso ethile yamaxabiso. Ulindele ukuba ekupheleni kukaJuni, uluhlu lokusebenza lwereferensi yexabiso lobhedu yi-78,000 ukuya kwi-89,000 yuan/ton, ixabiso eliqhelekileyo lesivumelwano esiphambili kulindeleke ukuba libe yi-82,500 yuan/ton, kwaye elisezantsi linokuqwalasela ukuphinda lizaliseke kufutshane nexabiso eliqhelekileyo. Kwixesha eliphakathi nelide, ukholelwa ukuba ukuncitshiswa kwenzala yase-US kuya kulibaziseka, ngelixa umngcipheko wokuhla kwezoqoqosho usaqhubeka, kwaye amaxabiso obhedu aya kujongana noxinzelelo oluthile.
Ixesha lokuthumela: Meyi-30-2024